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Latest Blog Entries
Surprising Sector Leaders Are Widening the Gap September 2, 2010 Over the last several months - going back as far as late last year - we’ve been pounding the table in favor of three sectors…. utilities, telecom, and energy. Though a huge runup in Q1 and a devastating pullback in Q2 trumped the idea of worrying about sector leadership, now that the dust is settling, [...]
So Many News Lows, It’s Bullish September 1, 2010 In Saturday’s newsletter we posed the bullish possibilities for the S&P 500, and we mirrored those thoughts on Monday with the equivalent outlook for the NASDAQ. In neither write-up, however, did we mention a bigger and more ambiguous reason that it could be to be a bull here…. too many new lows.
What? Too many new [...]
From the Editor - Sandbox Portfolio Buys (CTL, OTEX) & Sells (CORE, SCIL) August 31, 2010 Well, it’s certainly not been an easy three months, but at least it’s not been a losing three months. And, there’s some solace in the fact that we’ve beaten the S&P 500’s loss of 4.5% since early June; the ‘Sandbox’ portfolio is right around a break-even for that period. Take a look.
As for individual holdings, [...]
NASDAQ Composite’s Good, Bad, & Ugly August 30, 2010 In Saturday’s newsletter we dissected the S&P 500’s chart to within an inch of its life, though we could have done the NASDAQ just as easily. And, it would have been just as telling. Since such an analysis may have value to some of our readers (who are more into tech and stocks of all [...]
Economic Wrap-Up - This Week, Last Week August 30, 2010 Last week may have been a light week in terms of the amount of economic data, but it was plenty important… particularly on the housing front. And, the news wasn’t good. New home sales plunged to an all-time low annualized sale rate of 276K, while existing home sales plunged to a multi-year low of 3.83 [...]
Recent Newsletters
The Bullish Argument Isn't Half Bad Sat, Aug 28, 2010 @ 09:19 am Well, while it's too soon bet the farm on it, Friday's market action looks suspiciously like what we suggested could unfold over the past few weeks.... so far anyway. Don't dismiss Friday's bullish action as luck. If it was luck, there were an awful lot of coincidences that just happen to lend themselves......
Reality Check: What's Really Wrong With Homebuilder Stocks? Thu, Aug 19, 2010 @ 06:21 am After yet-another disappointing building permits and housing starts update on Tuesday of this week, we were inundated with yet-another salvo of news commentaries stating the obvious.... with headlines such as "Home Builders Continue to Struggle...", and "Housing Starts Still Weak". Fair enough. The most......
Inflation Versus Deflation: How to Play Either (Part 2) Sat, Aug 14, 2010 @ 09:24 am Again we'll stress we've seen neither inflation nor deflation yet, despite table-pounding prognostications for both. Until it becomes clear one or the other is inevitable, the wisest action to take may be none.... even if the talking heads on TV sound so sure of themselves. The ideas presented above......
Inflation Versus Deflation: Reality Check (Part 1) Thu, Aug 12, 2010 @ 06:11 am Not since Rocky Balboa took on Clubber Lang have we seen such a fierce fight take shape.... except maybe the Bush/Gore debacle. In one corner we have the deflation pundits, freshly up from the amateur ranks, and hungry to build on the evidence that Ben Bernanke served up on Tuesday. The deflation idea......
How Close is the Market to Real Bullishness? Plus, a Surprising New Sat, Aug 7, 2010 @ 11:18 am What looked like was going to be a disappointing - perhaps downright bearish - end to the week early on Friday ended up being something quite different by the time the closing bell rang. And while every tick is important, that late-in-the-day surge is incredibly telling about the state of investors......
Reuters - Stock index futures pointed to a slightly lower open on Wall Street on Friday, with futures for the S&P 500 down 0.21 percent, Dow Jones futures down 0.17 percent and Nasdaq100 futures flat at 0725 GMT (3:25 a.m. ET).
AP - Most Asian stock markets climbed Friday as investors took heart from a slight improvement in U.S. economic indicators amid lingering worries over the pace of the global economic recovery.