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Latest Blog Entries
Market Outlook - Closer to the Meltdown, Here’s What it Will Take November 1, 2010 Well, technically, it was a winning week - the S&P 500 gained 0.18 points (0.001%) over the past five trading days. While a gain is a gain is a gain, it’s clear there’s something amiss here. Perhaps it’s just a holding pattern for the election. Or, perhaps the tank really is out of gas.
Visually, the [...]
Sector Race Gets Up-Ended, While Style/Cap Race Lead Widens November 1, 2010 It was quite a change of fortune last week on the sector front. Gold stocks, which had been hugging the bottom for a few weeks, made their way to the top of the pile over the past five sessions. As tempting as it would be to jump on the hot spot that’s got such a [...]
Earnings So Far…Utilities and Industrials Rock, Plus Earnings Calendar November 1, 2010 We’re about halfway through earnings season, and so far so good. About 75% of reporting companies have topped earnings estimates, while 84% have beat last year’s operating earnings figures.
The most earnings ‘beat’ successes have come - ironically - from the utilities sector, which was supposed to be a poor performer for Q3. The consumer discretionary [...]
Two Weeks’ Worth of Economic Data, in Less Than 500 Words and Three Pictures October 31, 2010 Real estate data dominated last week’s economic updates, and overall, things were positive on that front. Existing homes sold at an annual rate of 4.53 million… much better than expected, and much better than last month’s sales. New home sales were up to an annual rate of 307K. Home prices went up too, anywhere from [...]
Economic Reality in Less Than 500 Words, Plus an Earnings Calendar October 24, 2010 If we had to grade the economy based on last week’s news, we’d have to give it a C-.
Industrial production and capacity utilization both slipped. It wasn’t by a lot, and certainly doesn’t change the overall trend direction of that data. All big trends start as small trends though. That said, this set of data [...]
Before Taking the Political Gridlock Plunge... Tue, Nov 2, 2010 @ 08:15 pm On tap for this mid-week edition of the Micro Cap Press newsletter.... Before Taking the Gridlock Plunge - Don't believe the numbers just because they're in print. Trading Ideas - Four small and micro cap ideas From the Blog - Recent highlights not featured in the newsletter Before Taking the Political......
Another Bearish Red Flag, But Still Pulling the Trigger on AEL Wed, Oct 27, 2010 @ 11:26 am We've got a lot to get to today, so we'll do so without any fanfare. On tap for this mid-week edition of the Micro Cap Press newsletter.... From the Editor: Swapping Out Some Stocks - We're adding one to it, but subtracting two from the editor's 'sandbox' portfolio. Which one is being added? One of the......
Market Update: The Bulls Strike Back, + Four Potenial Picks Sat, Oct 23, 2010 @ 09:50 am * The Bulls Strike Back, But the Future's Unchanged - Though the market managed to offset Tuesday's selloff and muster a gain for the week, the damage may already be done. And, considering the same damage has lead to bearish results before, the bulls may want to digest this reality. * From the Editor......
What Are Stocks Worth as of Today? (We Answer With a Number) Sat, Oct 9, 2010 @ 09:43 am This crazy wheel we call the market never seems to stop spinning, does it? Either too hot or too cold at any given time (for real, or only perceived), wild moves have become the norm. There is an underlying root to the insanity though... valuation. Yes, when you take a few steps back and look at the......
Market Update: Bulls Not At the End of the Line Yet Thu, Sep 9, 2010 @ 06:01 am Have the bulls already worn out their welcome, and invited the pullback so many are assuming is already on the way? The chatter says yes, but the data says no. The reality of the rally's longevity is below. After that, a handful of sector and industry calls. 'Nuff said. First though, we want to direct......