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For
More Information... |
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more information regarding Universal Delivery Solutions as an investment
opportunity, be sure to review the entire research report in a printable
PDF format by clicking the appropriate link below:
UDS
Group Inc.
Or,
to discuss any of these equities, contact:
The
Micro Cap Press
15233
Ventura Blvd.
Suite
#310
Sherman
Oaks, CA 91403
http://www.microcappress.com
1-800-277-9081 |
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China
Transinfo Tech: Volume Bigger Than Rally...For Now |
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the research staff of the Micro Cap Press generally feels that solid fundamentals
are the foundation for a 'good' micro cap stock pick, we're also more than
willing to acknowledge how - sometimes - evidence of a stock's strength
can first materialize on the stock's chart. One of the key bullish technical
signals worth watching for is volume. Specifically, when the amount of
volume increases while the stock is rising, it's frequently worth a closer
look at the underlying story.
With
that in mind, we became curious about micro cap equity China Transinfo
Tech (OTCBB: CTFO) over
the weekend when we saw the volume behind Friday's rally was nearly twice
as strong as the stock's previous record-volume day.
Moreover,
we've seen a steady increase in volume over the last month, as the stock
has started to move higher following a pretty poor Q3. Since October 1,
we've watched CTFO move from $3.20 to $3.84. The technical name for the
bullish volume trend is 'accumulation'. Regardless of what it's called
though, it's the kind of things shareholders usually like to see, as it
hints of an accelerating uptrend.
What's
most interesting in this instance is how the volume has grown at a greater
pace than the stock's trading level....so far. After Friday's volume data
is processed though, we suspect there will be a great number of new interested
parties. This has the potential to really rev the engines here, so China
Transinfo Tech may be worth putting on your watchlist - if you're looking
for a speculative idea.
By
the way, there were legitimate drivers for the stock's renewed strength.
China Transinfo Tech was awarded some major contracts by Oracle and the
Chinese Transportation Information Ministry. It's still unclear what kind
of impact this will have on the company, but it wouldn't be hard for this
company to make a significant improvement of its recent fiscal results.
To
see the chart, click
here. |
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From
Pink Sheets to Bulletin Board: UDSG |
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In
an ongoing effort to be a complete resource for fans of micro cap stock
trading, we wanted to answer a question received over the weekend from
one of our readers. Odds are many of you were wondering the same thing.
The subscriber writes...
Q. The
last wallst.net interview with the UDSG president indicated that they would
complete there financial audit, then file for a move from the pink sheets
to a bulletin board listing. Can you confirm this?
A. Yes,
we have separately asked the same question, and received the same response
- Universal Delivery Solutions Inc. (UDSG.PK)
is working towards a bulletin board listing.
It's our understating
that the audit team was done as of the end of October. This is a key step
in the process, since a company has to report two years worth of independently-verified
accounting in order to be considered for a bulletin board listing. Since
Pink Sheet companies are not required to provide 24 months worth of quarterly
updates to the SEC (though they can), this data first had to first be compiled
for UDS Group. Sherb & Co. - a pretty reputable audit firm -
did this work.
The next step
in the process is simply to submit the accounting statements and application
to the SEC. A 'Form 211' is also complete by any potential market maker
for the stock, and includes all the other relevant information about the
security. The SEC (not the NASD or NASDAQ) scrutinizes the details pretty
intently, and may or may not come back with comments and requests for changes.
Once everything checks out, the security has to be 'quoted' by at least
one or more market makers for 30 days - simply to ensure there's adequate
interest, or enough of a market for the equity to trade fairly to all buyers
and sellers.
It is our opinion
that UDS Group will indeed qualify for an OTCBB listing. The company expects
the listing upgrade to occur later this year or early next year, which
we believe to be a reasonable time-frame. And like many moves from a Pink
Sheet to bulletin board status, we suspect this one will create greater
visibility for the stocks as well as more trading liquidity.
For more about
the difference between Pink Sheet trading and OTC Bulletin Board trading,
be sure to review our July 6th edition 'Bulletin
Board vs. Pink Sheets - It Matters'.
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Checkin'
In: Sector Forecast |
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Back in our
August 10th edition 'A
View of the Market, From 30,000 Feet Above', we took a pretty good
look at some sectors we thought were ready to lead the market, and pointed
out one we expected to lag. Now nearly three months removed from the forecast,
we think it's time to check-in.
We were bullish
on utilities and technology. We were bearish on the financials. As for
energy stocks, we didn't exactly feel bearishly about them, though we didn't
expect much more upside either. Of the four sector calls we issued, three
have behaved pretty much as we expected.
On the nearby
chart, we've plotted the percentage returns for each of those groups since
August 10th. Technology (blue) is up 17.7%, while utilities (red) are up
12.7%. The financials (green) are only up 5.2%. The only one we were off
the mark with was energy (black). Energy stocks are up an average of 15.6%
since August 10th. So, in baseball terms, we're batting 0.750.
Of course, picking
a winner is fairly easy to do in a rising market. So, performance should
be measured on a relative basis...how did these sectors do relative
to the overall market? The closest proxy we have for 'the market' is
the Russell 3000 (gray). Its percentage return since August 10th? A modest
4.7%. So yes, we firmly believe some strategic sector-picking paid proverbial
dividends.
And which sectors
do we see leading the market the next three months? We're still examining
our charts and data. Look for the specifics later this week. The only intent
we had with today's revisit was to illustrate how well the methodology
can work. .
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Unemployment
On the Rise...For Real |
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In our September
10th edition 'Economic
Reality 101 (What's Really Good for the Market?)', we explained how
some economic data could be errantly Incorporated into investors' decision-making
processes. One of the few tools we felt actually 'worked' was unemployment
data. Even then, we never observed an ideal unemployment number. Rather,
we only saw historical meaning in the direction of the unemployment
trend....falling unemployment was helpful for stocks, while rising
unemployment was a burden on the market.
Though we don't
mean to sound like alarmists, the unemployment trend is changing shape.
See the nearby chart; the hot pink line is the monthly unemployment rate
over the last several years. You can see how the market has taken hits
when it's rising. October's reading of 4.7% is not leaps and bounds above
the multi-year low of 4.4 % (seen in October of 2006), but the slight increases
from month to month are starting to become the norm.
As our 'trend'
indicator, we've plotted a nine-month moving average of the unemployment
rate on top of the unemployment data (black, thin). It too is on the rise
now, meaning we're seeing a significant change in direction here.
This is not
a reason to panic, though some gloom-and-doom pundits may try to instill
a little fear into the minds of investors. This trend can be reversed,
and even if it's not, we don't feel all stocks will suffer as a result.
On the other
hand, we don't condone ignoring the data either. The historical
correlation is too consistent to overlook, though a large number of 'sunshine-and-roses'
commentators choose to anyway. We wouldn't be doing anybody a favor by
blowing smoke. We simply wanted to alert you to the potential of the scenario.
Only time will really tell whether or not history will repeat itself.
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