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In
This Edition... |
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Nanotechnology
- The Stimulus Plan's Stealth Beneficiary
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Freshening Up Our
Previous 'Charts of Interest'
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From the Blog -
Cancer Vaccines Validated, Reader-Suggested Ethanol Idea
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This Week's New
Watchlist
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Nanotechnology
- The Stimulus Plan's Stealth Beneficiary |
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It
can pay to read the fine print, even though your senators and congressmen
didn't really do the same when approving the American Recovery and Reinvestment
Act. Even today - weeks after the bill became a law - we're
finding some compelling tidbits that may translate into opportunities for
small and micro cap companies.
It's no big
secret that President Obama's a huge fan of clean and green-friendly energy;
much of that agenda made its way into stimulus plan. Solar power and wind
power were presumed to be the big beneficiaries of the stimulus package.
However, there's another energy field that's getting some love (i.e.
money) we haven't heard much about yet.
Not
that it's a ton of dough, but the
U.S. Department of Energy Secretary Steven Chu recently announced that
$256 million had been set aside specifically to foster energy efficiency.
Here's the breakdown:
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$156 Million is
earmarked for the improvement in the efficiency of industrial equipment,
waste energy recovery, and the combination of heat and power for better
efficiency (they're all built around the same idea).
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$50 million has
been budgeted for better energy efficiency (less energy use) among communication
and technology companies, which use massive amounts of power running servers
and cooling systems.
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Another $50 million
has been set aside for the development of materials that could make energy
consumption cleaner and/or more efficient. This could affect everything
from flex fuel cars to batteries (energy storage) to materials used in
solar panels. This portion of the budget's explanation specifically
mentioned nanomaterials and nanomanufacturing.
There were a handful
of investor-oriented 'take aways' we gleaned from the announcement.
The first one
is a point we're not going to belabor now, as we've discussed the concept
ad nauseam to date.... China
Energy Recovery Inc. (CGYV) is designing and building the very equipment
called for in the first section of the plan - waste heat recovery systems.
Other companies build the systems for smaller (and non-coal) operations,
but nobody really compares to CER on the waste heat recovery front.
Another detail
we found interesting was aim to make our nation's computer hardware and
server farms more efficient, though it's not exactly clear how or if that
will involve any publicly-traded companies.
The earmark
we found most compelling, however, was the $50 million set aside
to study improvement we could make with the materials used in energy
creation. Nanomaterials and nanomanufacturing were explicitly referenced.
You may recall
nanotechnology was a short-lived buzz word from a couple of years ago;
the idea quickly faded from the headlines when the average layperson couldn't
connect the dots between the technology and potential real-world applications.
The industry didn't die though - it was just the buzz that died.
We're not naive
enough to think $50 million worth of funding is going to be enough to energize
the nanotechnology industry again. However, we do think it's a strong
sign of its validity as far as energy conservation is concerned, and
that's the key... proving the nanotechnology serves a purpose in the real
world will pave the way for all the organizations in the field (including
the publicly-traded ones).
We'll dive into
specific, energy-oriented nanomaterials stocks at a later date; we only
wanted to introduce the idea today to set up what we think will be a series
of commentaries to be published in the near future.
We
will
do one thing today though.... whet your appetite with
few specific applications of nanotechnology that look very promising when
it comes to more effective energy production.
Nanomaterials
thus far have been able to...
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Improve solar cells'
collection and conveyance capacity (nanoparticle inks and germanium
nanocrystals are at the heart of better photovoltaic cells, and nanoparticle
quantum 'dots' harvest light better than ordinary silicon)
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Improve the storage
capacity of batteries (nanostructure anodes, which use silicon instead
of graphite, in lithium-ion batteries has been shown to quadruple the battery's
capacity)
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Improve the efficiency
of combustion engines
You get the idea.
Anyway, stay
tuned - we're going to try to convert these concepts into actionable, investment-worthy
ideas in future editions. In the meantime...
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Short
and Sweet |
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We don't have
a lot of room in this edition to freshen up all the charts we've found
particularly interesting recently, but a handful merit attention.
Herzfeld
Caribbean Basin Fund Inc. (CUBA)
It's a little
awkward to apply technical analysis to a mutual fund or ETF, since a fund's
value is strictly an aggregation of the underlying stocks' value. Nevertheless,
the chart of a fund or ETF can still indicate potential breakout points
and problem areas for a collection of equities as a whole.
Anyway, the
Herzfeld Caribbean Basin Fund - which invests in publicly-traded stocks
of Caribbean Basin countries - has become an interesting possibility.
You can forget
about tracking down the actual values of the underlying companies unless
you want to do some serious digging on your own. That's not what got our
attention anyway. It was the chart we found intriguing.
In the short
run, a couple of key accumulation waves have brought the fund back to life;
it's above some key moving averages for the first time since late 2007.
Longer-term,
CUBA looks like it's trying to break above a falling resistance line that's
been in place since the peak from early 2007.
Like we said,
you don't want to read too much into a fund's chart. However, you
can bet the rest of the market isn't yet thinking about tapping into South
and Latin America again. This could be an easy and relatively safe way
to do so.
As
for other tickers we've talked about...
ParkerVision
Inc. (PRKR) and Riverview Bancorp Inc. (RVSB) were highlighted last week,
as bullish and bearish possibilities, respectively. Neither has moved much
since then, but nothing's really changed with our thoughts on each.
We also discussed
speculative Spreadtrum Technologies Inc. (SPRD), though somewhat hesitantly....
the company was to announce earnings after the closing bell rang on the
same day we took our look. As it turns out, the response to earnings
was uneventful, and the stock has mostly continued higher (albeit it on
weak volume)
We're dropping
Allied Defense Group Inc. (ADG) and EnDevCo Inc. (EDVC) from our bullish
watchlist as we suggested we might last week. We are, however,
keeping Mirani Brands Inc. (MRIB) on our bearish watchlist - the breakdown
may have finally kicked in today.
Oh, by the
way, we dropped Flow International Corp. (FLOW) from our bullish watchlist
last week, but it's back on it now thanks to a move from $1.92 to $2.62.
We're still not sure about the stock, as the volume behind the recent rise
has been pathetic, and there seems to be resistance around $2.60. Nothing
wrong with keeping tabs on it though.
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From
the Blog |
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This
Week's Watchlist |
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Here's the latest
batch of stocks we suggest keeping tabs on. It's a lot more than usual,
though it's not like all of them will pan out. It's just better to have
more ideas than you can ever use rather than the other way around.
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Richardson Electronics
Ltd. (RELL) - in a consolidation phase, resistance around $4.20
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U.S. Gold Corp.
(UXG) - the wedge broke, but the breakout failed
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Gabelli Healthcare
& Wellness (GRX) - higher lows, resistance at $5.00
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G-Willi Food Intl.
(WILC) - this one resumed the trend after all that volatility
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Flow International
Corp. (FLOW) - back on the radar after a modest rally
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Intricon Corp.
(IIN) - still struggling
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PDI Inc. (PDII)
- being removed from the watchlist today
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CFS Bancorp Inc.
(CITZ) - being taken off the watchlist today
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Aristotle Corp.
(ARTL) - the overbought problem was solved, uptrend resumed
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Collectors Universe
Inc. (CLCT) - gapped up... probably best to lock in any profits and wait
for a pullback
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Herzfeld Caribbean
Basin Fund Inc. (CUBA) - yes, it did break out of consolidation, this chart's
worth a look
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Flow International
Corp. (FLOW) - back on the radar after a modest rally
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Oxygen Biotherapeutics
Inc. (OXBO) - slowly trying to reverse its downtrend
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JAG Media Holdings
Inc. (JAGH) - soared last week, but had nothing to stand on once there....
falling sharply
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Far East Energy
Corp. (FEEC) - hate to chase anything, but the buzz here is getting louder
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China Tel Group
Inc. (CHTL) - we're seeing massive volume today, thought it's unclear why
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Solar Power Inc.
(SOPW) - terrible volume, but an interesting chart
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Neogemomics Inc,
(NGNM) - this chart looks one stumble away from a complete implosion, suppot
at $1.30
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Pacer International
Inc. (PACR) - the sellers will just not let up
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Oncothyreon Inc.
(ONTY) - another overbought chart that's itching for a fall
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Affymetrix Inc,
(AFFX) - could the long drought finally be over?
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